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By: Dan Moore, MMATorch UK Contributor
This weekends UFC on FOX 7 event in San Jose, California is probably the closest we'll ever get to witnessing that UFC vs. Strikeforce card we all dreamed about many moons ago. Several match ups will see former Strikeforce stars pit their wits against top UFC talent in what looks like a fantastic card. After winning the bonus game last week; Ed Gibbons gets 10 points to use in the confidence game. Alex Potapoff has an extra $500 to use in the betting game.
We're still giving away prizes worth $100 (unless you work for MMA Torch!). I am recording the mean average scores for every competitor and the highest in both games will win $50 worth of goods from MMAwarehouse.com each.
Only selected fight cards taking place between 01 Jan - 30 Jun will count (We'll start over again for 01 Jul - 31 Dec 2013). Competitors will only be eligible if they have competed in 75% of the available cards. Anyone not reaching that target won't be considered, even if they have the highest mean average.
All picks for UFC on FOX 7 should be submitted to dannymoore100@hotmail.com by no later than 22:00 BST / 17:00 ET on Saturday.
MMA Torch Confidence Picks Championship Match Up
Nick Williams (Champion) vs. Joel Wielenga (Challenger)
Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face Nick, or Joel at UFC 159 (Jones vs. Sonnen) next weekend.
MMA Torch Betting Picks Championship Match Up
Jimbo Slice (Champion) vs. Mark Bunce (Challenger)
Everyone else will be battling it out in the pool for the right to face Jimbo, or Mark at UFC 159 (Jones vs. Sonnen) next weekend.
UFC on FOX 7 FIGHT CARD
Benson Henderson vs. Gilbert Melendez
Daniel Cormier vs. Frank Mir
Nathan Diaz vs. Josh Thomson
Matt Brown vs. Jordan Mein
Chad Mendes vs. Darren Elkins
Francis Carmont vs. Lorenz Larkin
Ramsey Nijem vs. Myles Jury
Joseph Benavidez vs. Darren Uyenoyama
Tim Means vs. Jorge Masvidal
T.J. Dillashaw vs. Hugo Viana
Anthony Njokuani vs. Roger Bowling
Clifford Starks vs. Yoel Romero
CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES
1. UFC on FOX 7 is a 12 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 12 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).
2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose either TKO, KO, SUB, UD (Unanimous Decision) or SD (Split Decision).
3. Using UFC 158 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:
12 - Georges St-Pierre - UD
11 - Condit - TKO2
10 - Ellenberger - TKO1
09 - Ring - UD
08 - Fletcher - SUB3
07 - Cote - SD
06 - Elkins - UD
05 - Mein - KO1
04 - Dillashaw - UD
03 - Story - UD
02 - Duran - SUB2
01 - Makdessi - UD
4. When you email me your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.
5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the examples above, a Georges St-Pierre victory would earn 12 points. John Makdessi winning would earn just 1 point, etc.
6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be the total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.
7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared the winner. If the tie is for a championship, they would match up again at the next event, along with the winner of the pool. If the tie occurs in the pool itself, both challengers would advance to face the champion at the next event.
BETTING GAME AND RULES
Here are the UFC on FOX 7 betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes:
Benson Henderson: -290
Gilbert Melendez: +245
Daniel Cormier: -420
Frank Mir: +335
Nathan Diaz: -200
Josh Thomson: +170
Jordan Mein: -335
Matt Brown: +245
Chad Mendes: -750
Darren Elkins: +450
Francis Carmont: -175
Lorenz Larkin: +135
Myles Jury: -300
Ramsey Nijem: +220
Joseph Benavidez: -530
Darren Uyenoyama: +350
Jorge Masvidal: -165
Tim Means: +125
T.J. Dillashaw: -420
Hugo Viana: +300
Anthony Njokuani: -195
Roger Bowling: +155
Yoel Romero: -180
Clifford Starks: +140
8. Using UFC 158 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:
$450 on Condit
$300 on Duran
$50 on Ellenberger
$200 Parlay on Condit, Duran and Fletcher
9. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.
10. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but no more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.
11. Players may also play a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either two or three fighters.
12. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 alloted to each player. The parlay bet is NOT separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.
13. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets. It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.
14. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.
FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS
15. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.
16. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.
Structure for each game
17. For each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.
18. All other players for each UFC numbered (or listed otherwise) event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.
19. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.
20. Entries may be submitted via email (dannymoore100@hotmail.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please, preferably via email.
21. If you have any questions, please email me and ask.
Final Note
22. A player does not need to play both games during each event. Players may choose to submit an entry for one game or the other, or for both, at their own choosing.
For game updates follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchDan
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Source: http://www.mmatorch.com/artman2/publish/prediction_and_betting_contests/article_16481.shtml
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